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Will the Operating System Be Rewritten in agent era?

已有 299 次阅读 2026-2-13 14:20 |个人分类:AI 浪潮|系统分类:科研笔记

The answer isn’t “will it happen?” It’s already happening. Just not in the way we’re used to.

The Operating System in the Agentic AI EraI. The history of operating systems is, at its core, a war over the front door

Each generation of operating systems didn’t merely improve kernels. It reorganized the entry point—how humans express intent.

DOS: the command line was the entry point.Windows / macOS: the desktop GUI became the entry point.iOS / Android: app icons became the entry point.The web era: the browser became the entry point.

The strategic heart of an operating system has never been the kernel. It’s the question: how does a user make something happen?

Change the front door, and the entire software ecosystem gets reshuffled.

II. Agents change the way intent is expressed

In the old model, doing something looked like this:

You want something done → open an app → find the feature → click through the workflow.

In the agentic model, the loop becomes:

You want something done → tell an agent → the agent orchestrates the system.

This is not a feature upgrade. It’s the disappearance of the old entry point. Recent “OS-level agent” moments—whether you look at stunning phone demos like Doubao’s, or the grassroots explosion around OpenClaw—make one thing unusually vivid: when users stop opening apps and agents start calling them, apps stop being the front door. They become capability modules.

In that world, the operating system is no longer organized around an “app launcher.” It’s organized around a permission orchestrator.

That is the structural change.

III. When the agent becomes the default entry point, three things happen to the OS3.1 UI moves to the second row

The UI doesn’t disappear, but it stops being the center of gravity. The interface becomes a governance tool, not an operation tool. It naturally splits into three roles:

a visualization layeran approval layeran audit layer

The real execution logic lives in the background orchestration layer. Icons shrink in importance. Menus fade. “Workflows” get flattened.

(1) Visualization layerIn traditional software, the UI is a control panel: you press buttons to cause actions.

In the agent era, actions happen in the background. The UI’s primary job is to tell you what happened:

what the agent plans to dowhat it is doing right nowwhat it has completed

If the agent books your flights, reorganizes your files, refactors your code, or runs a batch of API calls, you don’t click through each step. You supervise the plan and the outcome. The UI becomes closer to an aircraft instrument panel than a steering wheel.

(2) Approval layerThis layer becomes critical the moment agents gain execution authority. Some actions must require explicit human confirmation:

deleting 2,000 fileswiring $5,000signing a contractsending sensitive data outside the organization

Now the UI isn’t a collection of “features.” It’s a set of risk checkpoints. Its core function is not “click to do,” but “authorize or deny.”

It must show:

risk levelblast radiusconfirm / reject controls

This is the UI as the human’s final vote.

(3) Audit layerIf an agent can execute continuously, you can’t watch every step. The OS must surface accountability:

execution logstool and API call tracespermission usage historyresource consumption (tokens, API spend, data egress)anomaly alerts

This looks less like a classic app UI and more like:

a bank statementa cloud access loga flight recorder

The UI becomes an interface for responsibility. It doesn’t help you “do the work.” It helps you know what happened—and assign blame when something goes wrong.

Put side by side, the shift is stark.

Traditional app UI:menus, buttons, forms, step-by-step workflows

Agent-era UI:plans, summaries, risk prompts, permission grants, audit trails

You are no longer the operator. You are the supervisor.

And that’s not just an interaction change—it’s philosophical.

Before: humans operate; software executes.After: agents operate; humans arbitrate.

So the UI naturally migrates toward feedback, authorization, and oversight.

A concrete exampleImagine a future macOS where you say:

“Turn last year’s client invoices into a financial report.”

The agent quietly:

searches filesextracts datacalls spreadsheet toolinguses email APIs if neededgenerates a PDF

And the UI shows only:

a plan of stepsa warning: 3 anomalous files detecteda lock: authorize access to the finance folder?a result: report generated

You didn’t “open” any app. You supervised. The UI didn’t vanish—it evolved from a control panel into a responsibility panel. And whoever controls that panel controls the final decision.

That is what the OS must defend.

3.2 The permission system becomes the core asset

Classic OS security models are built around:

file permissionsprocess isolationsandboxing

But the agent era demands something more dynamic:

just-in-time permission grantstemporary execution authorizationrevocable capability interfacesverifiable execution logs

The OS shifts from a resource management system into a governance system for delegated execution.

3.3 APIs rise; apps fade

When agents are the default gateway, UI value goes down and API value goes up. The ecosystem starts to look like:

foreground: one “super agent”background: countless capability interfaces

In that world, the App Store itself may morph—from an “app market” into a “skill market.” Users don’t download apps; agents call capabilities. Distribution is rewritten.

IV. Why big platforms don’t fully open the gates

Because once an agent becomes the default entry point:

OS vendors lose the privileged control that UI once providedthe app ecosystem gets abstracted into a capability layerrevenue models face renegotiation

If every iPhone app becomes a background capability and the user interacts primarily through an agent, do app icons still matter? Does the 30% toll still feel defensible?

Entry-point control is profit control. That is why platform players ship agent features cautiously and incrementally.

When a product like Doubao pushes toward OS-level agency and triggers visible pushback, it’s not mysterious what it threatens. But the direction is hard to reverse: once consumers taste the productivity of an OS-level agent, they rarely want to go back to tapping through menus.

V. OpenClaw is a preview of an “ungoverned OS”

OpenClaw is, in essence, a simplified shell of an agent operating system.

It lacks mature permission governance. It lacks compliance frameworks. It lacks serious auditing. And yet it demonstrates a key fact:

model + permission orchestration + local execution is already enough to simulate a micro-OS.

That is why it shocks people. Not because it invented new intelligence, but because it shows what happens when you attach intelligence to execution without governance.

VI. The real future shape

When agents become the default gateway, the operating system becomes:

a permission allocation platforman execution-log platforma capability marketplacea risk-control hub

UI gets simpler. Apps become invisible. Capabilities become modular.

The user sees a conversational entry point. Underneath is a governance engine for delegated action.

VII. Final judgement

Agents will not eliminate operating systems. They will force operating systems to evolve—from “resource schedulers” into “arbiters of delegated execution.”

The core asset in the agent era is the power to define boundaries:

what can be doneby whomunder what permissionswith what logs and accountability

Whoever defines those boundaries becomes the next platform.



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