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Raymond Duch | ||
Professorial Fellow, Nuffield College, University of Oxford. |
The Economic Vote: How Political and Economic Institutions Condition Election Results
This book proposes a selection model for explaining cross-national variation in economic voting: Rational voters condition their economic vote on whether incumbents are responsible for economic outcomes because this is the optimal way to identify and elect competent economic managers under conditions of uncertainty. This model explores how political and economic institutions alter the quality of the signal that the previous economy provides about the competence of candidates. The rational economic voter is also attentive to strategic cues regarding the responsibility of parties for economic outcomes and their electoral competitiveness. Theoretical propositions are derived linking variation in economic and political institutions to variability in economic voting. The authors demonstrate that there is economic voting, and that it varies significantly across political contexts, and then test explanations for this variation derived from their theory. The data consist of 165 election studies conducted in 19 different countries over a 20-year time period. The book can be purchased at For more information please visit www.raymondduch.com/economicvoting |
Comparative CCAP (Cooperative Campaign Analysis Project )
The Strategic Ideological Vote: Presentation at the Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, Il. April 3-6, 2008
Teaching
Hilary Term 2010
Hilary Term 2009
Hilary Term 2008
Trinity Term 2008
Hillary Term 2007
Publications and Current Manuscripts
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