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决策支持系统(DSS)的简史

已有 5446 次阅读 2010-6-13 09:41 |个人分类:电子商务与商业智能|系统分类:海外观察

信息来源:http://dssresources.com/history/dsshistory.html
时间线索:新发展成果还有待补充(包括一些代表性文献)

year

Major Milestones

1945

Bush proposed Memex

1947

Simon book titled Administrative Behavior

1952

Dantzig joined RAND and continued research on linear programming

1955

Semiautomatic Ground Environment (SAGE) project at M.I.T. Lincoln Lab uses first light pen; SAGE completed 1962, first data-driven DSS

1956

Forrester started System Dynamics Group at the M.I.T. Sloan School

1960

Simon book The New Science of Management Decision; Licklider article on “Man-Computer Symbiosis”

1962

Licklider architect of Project MAC program at M.I.T.; Iverson’s book A Programming Language (APL); Engelbart's paper "Augmenting Human Intellect: A Conceptual  Framework"

1963

Englebart established Augmentation Research Center at SRI

1965

Stanford team led by Feigenbaum created DENDRAL expert system; Problem Statement Language/Problem Statement Analyzer (PSL/PSA) developed at Case Institute of Technology

1966

UNIVAC 494 introduced; Tymshare founded and Raymond article on computer time-sharing for business planning and budgeting

1967

Scott Morton’s dissertation completed on impact of computer-driven visual display devices on management decision-making process; Turban reports national survey on use of mathematical models in plant maintenance decision making

1968

Scott Morton and McCosh article; Scott Morton and Stephens article; Englebart demonstrated hypermedia—groupware system NLS (oNLine System) at Fall Joint Computer Conference in San Francisco

1969

Ferguson and Jones article on lab study of a production scheduling computer-aided decision system running on an IBM 7094; Little and Lodish MEDIAC, media planning model; Urban new product model-based system called SPRINTER

1970

Little article on decision calculus support system; Joyner and Tunstall article on Conference Coordinator computer software; IRI Express, a multidimensional analytic tool for time-sharing systems, becomes available; Turoff conferencing system

1971

Gorry and Scott Morton SMR article first published use of term Decision Support System; Scott Morton book Management Decision Systems; Gerrity article Man-Machine decision systems; Klein and Tixier article on SCARABEE

1973

PLATO Notes, written at the Computer-based Education Research Laboratory (CERL) at the University of Illinois by David R. Woolley

1974

Davis’s book Management Information Systems; Meador and Ness article DSS application to corporate planning

1975

Alter completed M.I.T. Ph.D. dissertation "A Study of Computer Aided Decision Making in Organizations"; Keen SMR article on evaluating computer-based decision aids; Boulden book on computer-assisted planning systems

1976

Sprague and Watson article "A Decision Support System for Banks"; Grace paper on Geodata Analysis and Display System

1977

Alter article "A Taxonomy of Decision Support Systems", Klein article on Finsim; Carlson and Scott Morton chair ACM SIGBDP Conference DSS Conference

1978

Development began on Management Information and Decision Support (MIDS) at Lockheed-Georgia; Keen and Scott Morton book; McCosh and Scott Morton book; Holsapple dissertation completed; Wagner founded Execucom to market IFPS; Bricklin and Frankston created Visicalc (Visible Calculator) microcomputer spreadsheet; Carlson from IBM, San Jose plenary speaker at HICSS-11; Swanson and Culnan article document-based systems for management planning

1979

Rockart HBR article on CEO data needs

1980

Sprague MISQ article on a DSS Framework; Alter book; Hackathorn founded MicroDecisionware

1981

First International Conference on DSS, Atlanta, Georgia; Bonczek, Holsapple, and Whinston book; Gray paper on SMU decision rooms and GDSS

1982

Computer named the “Man” of the Year by Time Magazine; Rockart and Treacy article “The CEO Goes On-Line” HBR; Sprague and Carlson book; Metaphor Computer Systems founded by Kimball and others from Xerox PARC; ESRI launched its first commercial GIS software called ARC/INFO; IFIP Working Group 8.3 on Decision Support Systems established

1983

Inmon Computerworld article on relational DBMS; IBM DB2 Decision Support database released; Student Guide to IFPS by Gray; Huntington established Exsys; Expert Choice software released

1984

PLEXSYS, Mindsight and SAMM GDSS; first Teradata computer with relational database management system shipped to customers Wells Fargo and AT&T; MYCIN expert system shell explained

1985

Procter & Gamble use first data mart from Metaphor to analyze data from checkout-counter scanners; Whinston founded Decision Support Systems journal; Kersten developed NEGO

1987

Houdeshel and Watson article on MIDS; DeSanctis and Gallupe article on GDSS; Frontline Systems founded by Fylstra, marketed solver add-in for Excel

1988

Turban DSS textbook; Pilot Software EIS for Balanced Scorecard deployed at Analog Devices

1989

Gartner analyst Dresner coins term business intelligence; release of Lotus Notes; International Society for Decision Support Systems (ISDSS) founded by Holsapple and Whinston

1990

Inmon book Using Oracle to Build Decision Support Systems; Eom and Lee co-citation analysis of DSS research 1971–1988

1991

Inmon books Building the Data Warehouse and Database Machines and Decision Support Systems; Berners-Lee’s World Wide Web server and browser, become publicly available

1993

Codd et al. paper defines online analytical processing (OLAP)

1994

HTML 2.0 with form tags and tables; Pendse’s OLAP Report project began

1995

The Data Warehousing Institute (TDWI) established; DSS journal issue on Next Generation of Decision Support; Crossland, Wynne, and Perkins article on Spatial DSS; ISWorld DSS Research pages and DSS Research Resources

1996

InterNeg negotiation software renamed Inspire; OLAPReport.com established;

1997

Wal-Mart and Teradata created then world’s largest production data warehouse at 24 Terabytes (TB)

1998

ACM First International Workshop on Data Warehousing and OLAP

1999

DSSResources.com domain name registered

2000

First AIS Americas Conference mini-track on Decision Support Systems

2001

Association for Information Systems (AIS) Special Interest Group on Decision Support, Knowledge and Data Management Systems (SIG DSS) founded

2003

International Society for Decision Support Systems (ISDSS) merged with AIS SIG DSS

一些历史文献
Alavi, M., & Joachimsthaler, E. A., “Revisiting DSS Implementation Research: A Meta-Analysis of 
the literature and suggestions for researchers,” MIS Quarterly, 16, 1, 1992, 95-116.

Alter, S.L., "A Study of Computer Aided Decision Making in Organizations," Ph.D. dissertation,
M.I.T., 1975.

Alter, S.L., "Why Is Man-Computer Interaction Important for Decision Support Systems?",
Interfaces, 7, 2, Feb. 1977, 109-115.

Alter, S.L. Decision Support Systems: Current Practice and Continuing Challenge. Reading, MA:
Addison-Wesley, 1980.

Armstrong, M. P., Densham, P. J. and Rushton, G., “Architecture for a microcomputer based
spatial decision support system,” Second International Symposium on Spatial Data Handling,
120, 131 International Geographics Union, 1986.

Arnott, D. and G. Pervan, "A critical analysis of decision support systems research", Journal of
Information Technology, 20, 2, 2005, 67-87.

Baskerville, R., and Myers, M., “Information Systems as a Reference Discipline”, MIS Quarterly,
26, 1, 2002, 1 -14.

Berners-Lee, T., “The World Wide Web: Past, Present and Future,” August 1996,
URL http://www.w3.org/People/Berners-Lee/1996/ppf.html, last accessed March 5, 2007.

Bhargava, H. K., R. Krishnan and R. Müller, “Decision Support on Demand: Emerging Electronic
Markets for Decision Technologies,'' Decision Support Systems, 19:3, pp. 193-214, 1997.

Bhargava, H. and D. J. Power. Decision Support Systems and Web Technologies: A Status Report.
Proceedings of the 2001 Americas Conference on Information Systems, Boston, MA, August 3 - 5,
2001.

Bonczek, R. H., C.W. Holsapple, and A.B. Whinston. Foundations of Decision Support Systems,
New York: Academic Press, 1981.

Buchanan, B.G. and E.H. Shortliffe (eds.): Rule-Based Expert Systems: The MYCIN Experiments
of the Stanford Heuristic Programming Project, 1984.

Bui, T. X. and M. Jarke, "Communications Design for Co-op: A Group Decision Support System."
ACM Transactions on Office Information Systems, 4, 2, 1986, 81-103.

Bush, V. "As We May Think", The Atlantic Monthly, 176, 1, July 1945, 101-108,
http://www.theatlantic.com/unbound/flashbks/computer/bushf.htm

Codd, E.F., S.B. Codd and C.T. Salley, "Providing OLAP (On-Line Analytical Processing) to
User-Analysts: An IT Mandate", E.F. Codd and Associates, 1993 (sponsored by Arbor
Software Corporation).

Crossland, M. D., Wynne, B. E. and Perkins, W. C., “Spatial Decision Support Systems:
An overview of technology and a test of efficacy,” Decision Support Systems, 14, 3, 1995,
219-235.

Davis, G., Management Information Systems: Conceptual Foundations, Structure, and
Development. New York: McGraw-Hill, Inc., 1974.

DeSanctis, G. and R. B. Gallupe. "A Foundation for the Study of Group Decision Support
Systems," Management Science, 33, 5, May 1987, 589 - 609.

Devlin, B.A. and P. T. Murphy, “An architecture for a business and information system”,
IBM Systems Journal, 27, 1, 1988, 60-80.

Dickson, G. W., M. S. Poole and G. DeSanctis. "An Overview of the GDSS Research Project
and the SAMM System", in Bosttrom, R. P., R. T. Watson, and S. T. Kinney, Computer
Augmented Teamwork: A Guided Tour, New York: Van Nostrand Reinhold, 1992, 163-179.

Dhar, V. and R. Stein. Intelligent Decision Support Methods: The Science of Knowledge.
Upper Saddle River, NJ: Prentice-Hall, 1997.

Donovan, J.J. and S.E. Madnick. "Institutional and Ad Hoc DSS and Their Effective Use",
Data Base, 8, 3, 1977.

Engelbart, D.C., "Augmenting Human Intellect: A Conceptual Framework,” October 1962,
Air Force Office of Scientific Research, AFOSR-3233, URL
www.bootstrap.org/augdocs/friedewald030402/augmentinghumanintellect/ahi62index.html .

Eom, S.B. and S. M. Lee. "DSS Applications Development Research: Leading Institutions
and Most Frequent Contributors (1971-April 1988)," Decision Support Systems (6)3, 1990a,
269-275.

Eom, H. B. and S.M. Lee., “A Survey of Decision Support System Applications
(1971-April 1988),” Interfaces, 20, 3, 1990b, 65-79.

Eom, S.B., Decision Support Systems Research (1970-1999), Lewiston, NY: Edwin Mellen
Press, 2002.

Fedorowicz, J. "A Technology Infrastructure for Document-Based Decision Support Systems",
in Sprague, R. and H. J. Watson, Decision Support Systems: Putting Theory into Practice
(Third Edition), Prentice-Hall, 1993, 125-136.

Fedorowicz, J., "Document Based Decision Support" in Decision Support for Management, in
R. Sprague Jr. and Hugh J Watson (eds.) Upper Saddle River, N.J.: Prentice-Hall, 1996.

Ferguson, R. L. and C. H. Jones, "A Computer Aided Decision System," Management Science,
15, 10, 1969, B550-B562.

Gerrity, T. P., Jr., Design of Man-Machine Decision Systems: An Application to Portfolio
Management. Sloan Management Review, 12, 2, 1971, 59-75.

Gorry, A. and M.S. Scott-Morton, “A Framework for Information Systems”, Sloan Management
Review, 13, 1, Fall 1971, 56-79.

Goul, M., J.C. Henderson, J. C., and F.M. Tonge, “The emergence of Artificial Intelligence
as a Reference Discipline for Decision Support Systems Research,” Decision Sciences, 23,
6, 1992, 1263-1276.

Gray, P., "The SMU decision room project", Transactions of the Ist International
Conference on Decision Support Systems (Atlanta, Ga.), 1981, pp. 122-129.

Gray, P., Guide to IFPS (Interactive Financial Planning System), New York:
McGraw-Hill Book Company, 1983.

Hackathorn, R.D. and P.G.W. Keen, “Organizational Strategies for Personal Computing in
Decision Support Systems,” MIS Quarterly, 5, 3, September 1981, 21-26.

Holt, C. C. and G. P. Huber, "A Computer Aided Approach to Employment Service Placement
and Counseling," 15, 11, 1969, 573-595.

Holsapple, C. and A. Whinston, Decision Support Systems: A Knowledge-Based Approach,
Minneapolis/St. Paul, MN: West Publishing, 1996.

Houdeshel, G. and H. Watson, "The Management Information and Decision Support (MIDS) System
at Lockheed-Georgia", MIS Quarterly, 11, 1, March 1987, 127-140.

Huber, G. P., "Group decision support systems as aids in the use of structured group management
techniques", Transactions of the 2nd International Conference on Decision Support Systems,
1982, 96-103.

Joyner, R. and K. Tunstall, "Computer Augmented Organizational Problem Solving," Management
Science, 17, 4, 1970, B212-226.

Keen, P. G. W. and M. S. Scott Morton, Decision Support Systems: An Organizational Perspective.
Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley, 1978.

Keen, Peter G. W., "MIS Research: Reference Disciplines and Cumulative Tradition", in E. McLean,
Proceedings of the First International Conference on Information Systems, Philadelphia,
Pennsylvania, December 1980, 9-18.

Kersten, G.E., "NEGO - Group Decision Support System", Information and Management, 8, 5,
1985, 237-246.
Kreamer, K.L. and J. L. King, “Computer-based systems for cooperative work and group decision
making,” ACM Computing surveys 20, 2, 1988, 115-146.

Klein, M. and L. B. Methlie, Knowledge-based Decision Support Systems with Applications in
Business. Chichester, UK: John Wiley & Sons, 1995.

Little, J.D.C. and L.M. Lodish, "A Media Planning Calculus," Operations Research, 17,
Jan.-Feb. 1969, 1-35.

Little, J. D. C., "Models and Managers: The Concept of a Decision Calculus". Management
Science, 16, 8, , April 1970, B466-485.

Little, J. D. C., “Brandaid, an On-Line Marketing Mix Model, Part 2: Implementation,
Calibration and Case Study,” Operations Research, 23, 4, 1975, 656-673.

McCosh, A., “Comments on ‘A Brief History of DSS’,” email to D. Power, Oct 3, 2002 at URL
http://dssresources.com/history/dsshistory.html , last accessed March 10, 2007.

McCosh, A. M. and B. A. Correa-Perez, "The Optimization of What?" in Gupta, J. G. Forgionne,
and M. Mora, Intelligent Decision-making Support Systems: Foundations, Applications and
Challenges, Springer-Verlag, 2006, 475-494.

McCosh, A. M and Scott Morton, M. S., Management Decision Support Systems, London, Macmillan,
1978.

Nunamaker, J. F., Jr., A. R. Dennis, J. F. George, W. B. Martz, Jr., J. S. Valacich, and D. R.
Vogel, "GroupSystems" in Bosttrom, R. P., R. T. Watson, and S. T. Kinney, Computer Augmented
Teamwork: A Guided Tour, New York: Van Nostrand Reinhold, 1992, 143-162.

Nylund, A., "Tracing the BI Family Tree", Knowledge Management, July 1999.

National Research Council ,Committee on Innovations in Computing and Communications,
“Funding a Revolution: Government Support for Computing Research,” 1999,URL
http://www.nap.edu/readingroom/books/far/contents.html

Pendse, N., "Origins of today's OLAP products," The OLAP Report, URL www.olapreport.com,
1997.

Power, D. J. "What is a DSS?". DSstar, The On-Line Executive Journal for Data-Intensive
Decision Support, October 21, 1997: Vol. 1, No. 3.

Power, D. J. "Web-based Decision Support Systems". DSstar, The On-Line Executive
Journal for Data-Intensive Decision Support, August 18 and 25, 1998b: Vol. 2, Nos. 33 and 34.

Power, D. J., “A History of Microcomputer Spreadsheets,” Communications of the Association for
Information Systems, 4, 9, October, 2000, 154-162.

Power, D. J., “Supporting Decision-Makers: An Expanded Framework,” In Harriger, A. (Editor),
e-Proceedings Informing Science Conference, Krakow, Poland, June 19-22, 2001, 431-436.

Power, D. J., Decision Support Systems: Concepts and Resources for Managers, Westport, CT:
Greenwood/Quorum, 2002.

Power, D.J., “A Brief History of Decision Support Systems,” DSSResources.COM, World Wide Web,
URL DSSResources.COM/history/dsshistory2.8.html, version 2.8, May 31, 2003.

Power, D. J., “Decision Support Systems: From the Past to the Future,” Proceedings of the 2004
Americas Conference on Information Systems, New York, NY, August 6-8, 2004a, 2025-2031.

Power, D. J., “Specifying an Expanded Framework for Classifying and Describing Decision Support
Systems,” Communications of the Association for Information Systems, Vol. 13, Article 13,
February 2004b, 158-166.

Powell, R. “DM Review: A 10 Year Journey”, DM Review, February 2001, URL
http://www.dmreview.com, last accessed March 10, 2001.

Raymond, R.C., "Use of the Time-sharing Computer in Business Planning and Budgeting, Management
Science, 12, 8, 1966, B363-381.

Rockart, J. F. "Chief Executives Define Their Own Data Needs," Harvard Business Review, 67, 2
March-April 1979, 81-93.

Rockart, J.F. and M.E. Treacy, “The CEO Goes On-Line,” Harvard Business Review,
January-February, 1982, 82-88.

Scott Morton, M. S., "Computer-Driven Visual Display Devices -- Their Impact on the Management
Decision-Making Process," Doctoral Dissertaion, Harvard Business School, 1967.

Scott Morton, M. S. and J. A. Stephens, “The impact of interactive visual display systems on
the management planning process,” IFIP Congress, 2, 1968, 1178-1184.

Scott Morton, M. S. and A. M. McCosh, "Terminal Costing for Better Decisions," Harvard Business
Review, 46, 3, May-June 1968, 147–56.

Scott Morton, M. S., Management Decision Systems; Computer-based support for decision making,
Boston, Division of Research, Graduate School of Business Administration, Harvard University,
1971.

Saaty, T., Decision Making for Leaders; the Analytical Hierarchy Process for Decisions in a
Complex World, Wadsworth, Belmont, Calif., 1982.

Sharda, R., S. Barr, and J. McDonnell, "Decision Support Systems Effectiveness: A Review
and an Empirical Test, Management Science, 34, 2, 1988, 139-159.

Silver, M.S., Systems that Support Decision Makers: Description and Analysis,
New York: John Wiley & Sons, 1991.

Simon, H.A., Administrative Behavior, New York, NY: Macmillan, 1947.

Simon, H.A., The New Science of Management Decision, New York, NY: Harper and Row, 1960.

Sprague, R. H., Jr. and H. J. Watson, "Bit by Bit: Toward Decision Support Systems",
California Management Review, XXII, 1, Fall 1979, 60-68.

Sprague, R, H., Jr., "A Framework for the Development of Decision Support Systems,"
Management Information Systems Quarterly, vol. 4, no. 4, Dec. 1980, pp. 1-26.

Sprague, R. H., Jr. and E. D. Carlson. Building Effective Decision Support Systems.
Englewood Cliffs, N.J.: Prentice-Hall, Inc.,1982.

Swanson, E. B. and M. J. Culnan, "Document-Based Systems for Management Planning
and Control: A Classification, Survey, and Assessment", MIS Quarterly, 2, 4,
Dec. 1978, 31-46.

Turban, E., "The Use of Mathematical Models in Plant Maintenace Decision Making,"
Management Science, 13, 6, 1967, B342-359.

Turoff, M., “Delphi Conferencing: Computer Based Conferencing with Anonymity,”
Journal of Technological Forecasting and Social Change. 3, 2, 1970, 159-204.

Turoff, M. and S. R. Hiltz, "Computer support for group versus individual decisions",
IEEE Trans. Communications, COM-30, 1, 1982, 82-90.

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Review, 8, 2, Spring 1967, 43-54.

Watson, H., G., Houdeshel and R. K. Rainer, Jr., Building Executive Information Systems
and other Decision Support Applications, New York: John Wiley, 1997.


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