科学网-黑天鹅-李杰的博文

黑天鹅

2024-5-22 23:01

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Two people walk through many white swans before bumping into a black swan. One claims it was obvious all along.

A fisherman illustrates the parable of the fishing net by concluding a minimum size of fish because they never see any smaller in their nets — you get what you measure

VUCA illustration: Examples of Volatility (a stock-like chart), Complexity (a circuit-like confusion), Uncertainty (a direction splitting into 3) and a person sweating over Ambiguity (a Necker cube).

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