从仿真实验中得到的结论，似乎是说，历史事件有其必然性。

当然，这个必然性大家都似乎在某种程度上是认可的；

但是，一旦有冰冷的实验来验证的话，可能就真的有些寒意了。

——我们大家都只是历史必然性的一个个puppy？

Griffin and Stanish使用Repast构建一个Titicaca湖流域（在秘鲁和玻利维亚）的史前仿真模型，时期从公元前2500年到公元1000年。该模型用于研究关于影响史前人群分布和政治联合的一些因素的假设。该模型的地理空间结构包括5万平方公里的网格，每个网格1.5平方。每个格子模拟该地的地理、水文和农业状态。主体（agent）包括村落、人群、政治团体和领袖；他们互相作用，并与环境交互。主体的行为建模根据理论假说中的影响农业、迁徙、竞争和贸易的因素按“条件-行为”模式来进行。

模拟结果表明，有一些宏观的历史/政治模式涌现，而这些模式与考古学中观察到的模式一致。仿真结果为区域政治的发展提供了启发。

Griffin and Stanish [17] developed an agent-based model, using Repast,
for the Lake Titicaca basin of Peru and Bolivia covering the late prehis-
toric period, 2500 BC to AD 1000. The model was used to study hypotheses
for the causal variables affecting prehistoric settlement patterns and polit-
ical consolidations. The model’s geo-spatial structure consists of a 50,000
km 2 grid composed of 1.5-km square cells. Each cell modeled the geography,
hydrology, and agricultural potential. Agents consist of settlements, peoples,
political entities, and leaders that interact with each other and with the envi-
ronment (grid). Agent behavior is modeled as a set of condition-action rules
that are based on hypothesized causal factors affecting agriculture, migra-
tion, competition, and trade processes. The authors report that through a
series of simulation runs, the model produced a range of alternative political
prehistories and the emergence of macro-level patterns that corresponded to
observed patterns in the archaeological record. Simulation results provided
insights into region-wide political consolidation.