2017年的诺贝尔医学与生理学奖谁也没预测到。不仅呼声极高的热门技术和人选没中，就是引文桂冠预测也没中。
此前，David Pendlebury, formerly of Thomson Reuters and now with Clarivate Analytics根据论文引用数量预测为如下人选：
Yuan Chang and Patrick Moore of the University of Pittsburgh for their work with human herpesvirus 8 (KSHV/HHV8) which is associated with cancer; Lewis Cantley of Weill Cornell of Medicine for the discovery of a cell signaling pathway and its role in tumor growth; and Karl J. Friston of the University College London for his work on algorithms and techniques for the analysis of brain imaging data.
但可惜，没预测中。
就连《washingtonpost》也承认“the medicine Nobel is notoriously hard to predict”
。甚至得奖者之一被告知时，还说“你在逗我么？”（In fact, during a press conference where the awards were announced, a member of the Nobel Assembly at Karolinska Institutet said that when he informed Rosbash that he had received the award his response was, "You are kidding me.”。）
原因是因为诺奖评委不公布人选，而且这个方面可获奖者人数太多。因此，极难预测。（Perhaps because the highly secretive Nobel committee does not release a list those under consideration and never has in its 116-year history, the names being thrown around as deserving of the prize in the weeks before the announcement is always very long and highly speculative.）
见：
Nobel Prize in medicine or physiology awarded to JeffreyC ...
www.washingtonpost.com/news/to-your-health/wp/
相关专题：2017年诺贝尔奖
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